The Nielsen May television audience “sweeps” are in and leading Wall Street analyst firm MoffettNathanson breaks down the results.
Year over year, overall May television 18-49 prime ratings today are down 9%. 18-49 cable prime is off 7% while broadcast prime is down 16%. A headline in this week’s Advertising Age sums up the state of TV audiences: “Endless Bummer? TV Ratings Slump Continues.”
During the same time period, radio ratings from Nielsen’s Portable People Meter panel are remarkably stable. 18-49 total day radio ratings are down only 1% from May of 2014 to May of 2015.
Here’s what’s not being covered: the current demographic profile of the broadcast networks. In a local market, affiliates of ABC, CBS, and NBC continue to be mass reach platforms for local advertisers. The demographic audience composition of ABC/CBS/NBC has shown significant shifts.
The Aging Network TV Viewer
Since 1990, the median age of primetime ABC/CBS/NBC viewers has grown from 41 to 57, according to Media Dynamics, Inc. The primetime audience of ABC/CBS/NBC has aged by 16 years. At the same time, the median age of the total U.S. population has only increased by five years (33 in 1990 to 38 in 2014). At 57, the average age of ABC/CBS/NBC primetime audience now falls outside the 25-54 demographic.
According to Media Dynamics:
Thanks to the multitude of alternative viewing options, particularly cable, the major networks garnered only 25% of the primetime TV audience and the median age of their viewers was at an all-time high of 57 years, 19 years higher than the total population norm. It seems clear that the major TV networks, who still think that they are ‘mass audience’ programmers, are actually catering more and more to older traditionalists.
Radio Reaches the Working Generation
Unlike ABC/CBS/NBC, radio has seen much smaller changes in its median age. According to Nielsen, the median age of radio listeners in 2005 was 43 and is currently 46, a difference of only three years.
While primetime network TV viewers are aging and losing younger viewers to cable and new digital platforms, radio continues to reach the younger, working generation.
Pierre Bouvard is Chief Marketing Officer of Cumulus Media | Westwood One.